MAVS NEWS: Luka Is Hurt, But is Trudging On | DLive's Mom Passes Away| Maxi OUT

[DanSchwartzgan]

This makes a lot of sense.  So my question to you is, how far would you be willing to go to make this happen?  Would you send out either of the kids?  Protected first?  How protected would it need to be to be worth it?

First, let me start by agreeing with Sleeping Hero.  Adding Capela and Anderson for THJ/Holmes would be a fantastic outcome.  Capela is that defensive anchor we need and we can bring Lively along slowly.  Anderson is the underrated part of this.  Part of why I liked the Bojan rumor is I think we need another initiator from the front court.  Anderson not only brings good D and can hit corner 3’s (low volume alert), but you can run some offense through him in the second unit with one of the stars sitting.  GWill and Green are excellent ‘ball-movers’.  Anderson is more than that.  Our ball movement might be really good at times.

Now, to your question…what is all that worth.  I’d be tempted to pay up a little for that specific outcome.  But, let’s pretend for a moment that we don’t ‘know’ any of the stuff you and FG have proffered.  In reality we don’t ‘know’ anything, so it is probably a good place to start.  You’ve said you think THJ for SLO-Mo is probably fair.  I would agree they are an “eye of the beholder” evaluation.  Minnesota probably needs more of what THJ provides and Dallas probably needs more of what Anderson provides.  Hardaway makes too much, but Anderson’s UFA status a year from now diminishes his value.  We could argue relative value for weeks, but an even swap seems reasonable (especially in light of the blow-up with Gobert).

So, we are down to Capela for Holmes.  Atlanta has to send out salary in any KAT deal and if you assume Capela has to be in the outgoing and Minnesota doesn’t want him (probably safe assumptions), then what is the cost for Atlanta to send out $42mm of Capela for $24mm of Holmes?   Yes, Dallas is getting the better player.  But, Dallas is also eating an extra $18mm in salary.  What is that worth?  Add in the fact that Atlanta needs this to happen if they want KAT and a $12mm backup center makes more sense than a $21mm backup center.  

When Capela was traded in February of 2020, the cost was a first in the next draft (the pick ahead of Josh Green), a second and a Nene for E. Turner swap of expiring players who would both be out of the league after that season.  So, a non-lottery first and a second.  Is Capela at his current age and contract under this CBA worth more or less than that?  I don’t think it is more.  If we are willing to forget all we think we know from draft night, this feels like a “weak first” (top 20 protected?  lottery protected at the most) with the conversion to the 2028 second if it doesn’t convey.  I really don’t see it including a kid.

---

I still like the basic concept of Holmes-McGee FOR Capela, as a standalone, whether within a larger trade or not. And while DAL does seem to want CC to a real degree, I find it quite possible that ATL may want to be out from under his contract just as much. One man's trash can be another man's treasure.
 

I’m less convinced than you that Atlanta would take Holmes and McGee for Capela.