04-23-2023, 08:50 AM
(04-22-2023, 10:31 PM)F Gump Wrote: 1 I think you're probably right. TK's have weird rules, and so do after-season trades sometimes. I did use future salary and probably shouldn't have (but too lazy to look it up).
Suffice it to say that if 2022-23 salary gets used w TK, the diff between June and July in what GS has to take becomes an even wider gap, and GS has been paying tax at a multiplier of 5-6x.
2 The entire TK would be paid in June, if done in June, and would be paid by GS.
3 Any part of TK can be waived for any reason (or for no reason).
Great, that makes sense.
GS would pick up an extra $3.8mm on the kicker, but the trade spread on such a deal can be as much as $6.0 million. So, even with the kicker, GS could drop as much as $2.2mm in taxable salary plus another $12-ish in tax (if you can find a combination of contracts that is the exact trade match and meets the roster rules for this timing).
The best match from the GS POV would be THJ + Josh Green, but it doesn't quite reach the $23.5mm needed when the full TK is counted. So, Draymond would have to give up about $800k of his $3.8mm kicker for that combo to work. I'd really prefer Josh not be traded, so I'm moving on to the next possibility.
If the deal were THJ + McGee, that comes to $25.06mm in outgoing salary. Green plus his $3.8mm TK takes his cost to GS up to $29.67mm. But the trade spread brings their total cost back down by $4.6mm. They save $700k in salary and 5-6 times that in tax. Cuban is taking on the extra $4.6mm, so he's effectively the paying Draymond's kicker and the tax on it (though his tax rate is lower than GS's tax rate). THJ and McGee each have two years left which aligns with most of Curry's remaining window. That might prove to be valuable on a team that will only be able to add minimums the next few years.
I'm not smart enough to figure out what draft compensation (if any) would be outgoing on someone who could threaten to walk if they don't get their way. But, Draymond certainly fits the mold of what is needed here. 99th percentile defender who can swing between PF and C. 80th percentile defensive rebounder and 90th percentile in assists (on a team that really needs a third ball handler). Josh and Hardy both shot 3's better than THJ this season (and 3's are supposed to be his strength). So Hardaway's minutes are easily replaced. The question is what draft compensation goes along with the outgoing players. This conversation goes back to the Dameris and Followell podcast. If you listen to them, I don't think they could have been more clear that trading for someone with a PO is what the Mav's should do. Other than Middleton, Green is the only player who fits what they were describing. BTW, if this is done without involving the 2017 pick, I think a Bertans + 2027 for Turner is still on the table even if we already have Draymond. We still need a center as Draymond, Maxi and Powell aren't enough.