12-07-2022, 12:47 PM
I think I’ve seen wild swings in the way games are officiated. Last night’s whistles running Josh Green off the court among them. Creates some ridiculous unpredictability in the win and loss columns.
Also seems the across-the-board increase in 3-point attempts per game has to add significant volatility. Giving up leads and winning/losing unexpectedly will naturally follow. That’s just math.
Most interesting to me is how these trends are likely to affect the typical 7 game series. After all, that’s where the honey is. My guess is it increases the Mavs’ chances of winning any given series but lowers their chances of winning them all. I may have that backasswards though. Math is hard.
Also seems the across-the-board increase in 3-point attempts per game has to add significant volatility. Giving up leads and winning/losing unexpectedly will naturally follow. That’s just math.
Most interesting to me is how these trends are likely to affect the typical 7 game series. After all, that’s where the honey is. My guess is it increases the Mavs’ chances of winning any given series but lowers their chances of winning them all. I may have that backasswards though. Math is hard.
Pessimism doesn’t make you smart, just pessimistic.