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[mvossman]

And for the record I thought EPM was really good last year. But I expect these advanced stats with complex formulas to have quite a bit of noise and not be the best year after year.

Ironically advanced stats are noisy to the degree they incorporate on/off calculations.  On the spectrum of noise, box score stats have the least and raw on/off has the most.  The biggest goal of advanced stats that incorporate on/off is to reduce the noise that brings as much as possible.

Also ironically, Raptor is known to be less accurate in smaller samples, my guess being due to incorporating on/off more than some of the others (its results look much closer to raw on/off where EPM looks closer to an advanced box score stat like BPM).