AROUND the NBA: Pat Bev Suspended 4 Games Next Season| PHX Fires Vogel

[SleepingHero]

I should have said “if he gets an extension” take the over.  I can’t predict IF the Mav’s do it or not.  The risk they run is he gets offers north of $20mm next summer.  They can’t match that and make their cap structure work.  They probably have more risk in this negotiation than Green does, so this is not about what he’s already accomplished.  It is about de-risking their future exposure.

Players also give up something to get the security of locking in a deal a year early.  I think $12mm is the absolute floor here.  I’ve said all along I think $14mm is the number.

You and I perceive this potential risk differently. Only way Green is getting an offer close to that is if he completely looks like a different player and takes a huge step for this team. One I hope that happens by the way. But even if it does happen then the Mavs just match said deal and move on. He'd obviously be worth it. Should the very (and I believe VERY) unlikely reality that some desperate team throws Green a 4/80 deal next summer after he puts up a season that looked largely like the last 2 then you wrangle a SnT and wish Green good luck. The new cap rules punishes teams brutally for going over the 2nd cap and the days of overpaying the 4th-8th guys seem to be long gone. 

If a guy like Reaves got 4/54 (after doing more in 1 season than Green has in 3 years) then I can't see how Green gets close to a 70mil offer. I'm going to tentatively submit a 4/55 deal but hope its closer to 4/44.