12-08-2021, 12:30 AM
(This post was last modified: 12-08-2021, 12:34 AM by BackToSquareOne.)
3pt shooting has huge variance, at least for everyone not surname-d Curry.
Statistically, the 3pt volatility levels are set using historic patterns, basically, and then stretching those patterns out another 10, 15% roughly.
> So?
So, Reggie Bullock is starting to test those historic patterns.
> When?
Today.
Saturday.
Friday. Last Wednesday and Tuesday.
Two Saturdays ago.
> All right. I get it.
>> F*** me.
>> Once this thing gets going in the wrong direction, this is f***ing huge.
> How huge?
>> Well, the losses are greater than the current estimate for being eliminated from the play-in games.
Projected losses.
Statistically, the 3pt volatility levels are set using historic patterns, basically, and then stretching those patterns out another 10, 15% roughly.
> So?
So, Reggie Bullock is starting to test those historic patterns.
> When?
Today.
Saturday.
Friday. Last Wednesday and Tuesday.
Two Saturdays ago.
> All right. I get it.
>> F*** me.
>> Once this thing gets going in the wrong direction, this is f***ing huge.
> How huge?
>> Well, the losses are greater than the current estimate for being eliminated from the play-in games.
Projected losses.