02-07-2022, 11:21 PM
(02-07-2022, 10:26 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Lets ignore this year because it's still going on, but THJ is injured so it's not a fair comparison of the two.
Buddy in the last 3 years has ranked 4th, 2nd, and 2nd, in 3pt field goals made. He's made 831 threes in that time. Steph Curry has made 702. James Harden 798.
Now Steph was injured for one of those years with a broken wrist, so he'd undoubtedly be first. But still, Buddy has made the most amount of threes in the entire league the last 3 years. If you add this year Buddy still is ahead of Steph by about 100 threes.
Comparing him to THJ's best 3 years of his career under Carlisle, THJ has made 573 threes the last 3 years. They're not in the same stratosphere of shooting.
In both of THJ's best shooting seasons where he made 204, and 207 threes respectively (39.8%, 39.1%), Buddy still exceeds him by an average of 71 threes total each year (271, 282, [39.4%, 39.1%]). Extrapolating the results and how much space Luka created for Seth, I think putting the 2nd best 3pt shooter in the entire league next to Luka will only be a good thing, defense be damned.
Total number of 3s is a strange way to assess value. Based on that, THJ is a way better shooter than Seth Curry.
What we are really concerned about is their offensive impact on the court, right? Looking at several advanced metrics over the last two years they are simply not that different:
THJ 2020 2021 Hield 2020 2021
OBPM 1.2 2.0 2.5 1.0 (Best boxscore advanced stat)
Lebron 1.2 .9 1.4 1.7 (top on/off advanced stat)
EMP 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.8 (top on/off advanced stat)
Darko .7 .6 (best estimator, only looks at right now)
The defensive numbers for the two are also similar (all negative) with Hield being worse.
For reference, Curry and Lillard are in the 5-8 range. Completely different ballpark.