2021-2022 MAVS NEWS: 4th in West | WCF loss [ARCHIVED]

[fifteenth]

And how many of those high winning percentages teams were ravaged by Covid when the Mavs played them?  More missing context.  It just seems pointless to spend much time looking at extremely noisy stats like raw individual +/- when you could be looking at a quality advanced stat that removes so much of the context issues.  They are not perfect either, and require a good sized sample and looking at context not captured (like coaching, player fit, playing with injury, etc).

I agree. 

Not that you asked, but I think the stuff I like to look at most is box score stats, in the context of the eye test and lineup data. I also like some of the cool little situational defensive measures floating around. 

What do you like other than the more recent adjusted +/- descendants? 

I've read a few of the papers on or definitions of some of the metrics that have followed APM over the years, and I never really come away satisfied. I know the goal is to smooth the rough edges off of, and add context to raw +/-, but it still applies regression in a way that seems to benefit some and hurt other players in a way that's not just based on actual context, but just based on unintended bias within the adjustments themselves. But I'm not a probability and statistics guy, so I may be off on my assessment.