What is the probability that Kyrie will be a Mav next season?

[F Gump]

So, if you are trying to figure out the summer plan, plug in ~$190mm as a hard cap for Cuban.  Oh, and not just this year, but going forward as Green and Hardy are eligible for extensions. 

Thanks for your views.

I don't understand why you landed on 190M in your projection. That's well over the 2nd apron (which you seem to think Cuban will stay below) and not sure what it represents (if anything). (Was it perhaps meant to be written as ~180M, ie the 2nd apron?)

I'm not optimistic that Cuban has the new CBA "figured out" or that he will be ahead of the class. From past experience, I think he will LOOK FOR some edge, but his grasp on the league's working economics tends to misread how OTHERS will think and respond (both players and teams).

AS AN ASIDE - I think the league is gradually FORCING teams to use the draft and player development to create a pipeline of less expensive, bargain priced talent that can play. If you can't do that well, and (like Cuban) have it as an afterthought, you will be very handicapped. There's just not enough money to go around and fill all the needs. The sooner that Cuban gets it, and pivots his organization to prioritize elite talent evaluation, elite drafting, elite development, and elite negotiation, the sooner they will become what is needed. Until then, they'll be continuing to waste Luka's career.