05-15-2021, 10:38 AM
(05-15-2021, 10:06 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I like the thinking here. I've said I think the range is $14mm to $18mm. But that is theoretical. Who out there is going to use cap space on him. That leaves him at the MLE if we don't sign/sign-and-trade him. I like your numbers as it is basically the same as 3 x $17. I'm guessing you'd give him a PO for a second year to guarantee him $22.9-ish?
Here's my question. You are leaving yourself $23mm for who. A bunch of the guys you would put here would push THJ to the bench. For instance, say Lowry agreed to $23mm (same agent as THJ). That works for the Mav's and for Lowry. Does it help THJ? He's still coming off the bench and betting about $7 million (spread between 2/$22.9 and 3/$29.5 MLE elsewhere) that a year from now Dallas will keep its wink-wink deal. Also, will the league put up with that big of a circumvention. Dirk can take as little as he wants and could justify a max the next year. Is there any world in which you can justify $20mm per for THJ as a bench player a year from now?
Good question and it really depends on Richardsons and KPs future. I think 23m isn´t enough to enter the Collins conversation (not to mention that I don´t like the fit next to KP). You already mentioned the problem with another wing/guard. Players like Ball, Graham or Lowry would push THJ out of the starting five. I wouldn´t mind a split the money approach and target one wing/guard in the 12-15m (THT) and one big in the 5-10m range (Theis).
In a no KP scenario all bets are off. With THJ on a cheap deal the Mavs could potentiall add three guys in the 20+ million range. One of them obviously in a trade.