03-13-2020, 09:52 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-13-2020, 09:54 AM by michaeltex.)
I have a concern that the China/Wuhan numbers are actual. This was going on for months before it was officially recognized by the Chinese government so nobody really knows what the actual count was. We may be only seeing part of the curve, never mind if China is filtering the numbers so they don't look so bad.
Anecdotal reports of Iran using mass graves and Italians getting stuck with deceased family members because nobody wants to come retrieve the body.
The whole idea of cancelling events and social distancing is not to eliminate the disease but to flatten the curve so that patient needs don't overwhelm medical services. This means trading intensity for time, which means this is not going to blow over in a couple of weeks.
![[Image: 960x0.jpg?fit=scale]](https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/imageserve/5e6b3f08aa5428000759bd33/960x0.jpg?fit=scale)
Anecdotal reports of Iran using mass graves and Italians getting stuck with deceased family members because nobody wants to come retrieve the body.
The whole idea of cancelling events and social distancing is not to eliminate the disease but to flatten the curve so that patient needs don't overwhelm medical services. This means trading intensity for time, which means this is not going to blow over in a couple of weeks.