Thread Rating:
  • 1 Vote(s) - 5 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Tank watch for the last ten days of the season
#66
(04-11-2026, 08:36 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Adding 7th/8th two way tie (3 way seems highly unlikely):


Dallas Lottery Odds (Key Outcomes)

Outcome            | 6th Worst | Tie (6/7) | 7th Worst | Tie (7/8)
-------------------|-------——|------—---|-------——--|-----------
Top 4 Pick          |  37.2%    |  34.6%   |  31.9%     |  29.8%
#6 Pick              |    9.4%   |    8.3%   |    7.1%     |    6.2%
#7 Pick              |    9.7%   |    8.5%   |    7.2%     |    6.3%
#8 Pick              |  20.6%   |  27.4%    |  34.1%.    |  29.6%
#9 Pick              |  29.2%   |  23.2%    |  17.2%     |  21.4%
#10 Pick            |    3.7%   |    3.3%    |    2.8%     |    3.1%

Are these right?  They look different than what is on tankathon.

The top 4 looks right, but the rest looks wrong. The 6th seed has 8.6% chance of getting the 6th pick and 29.8% change of 7th pick. The 7th seed has zero chance to get a 6th pick.

EDIT: Also, if there is a tie the odds only get split for the top 4 picks. A coinflip decides the rest of the odds. (I just found this out).
Like Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: Tank watch for the last ten days of the season - by mvossman - 04-11-2026, 11:20 AM

Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 2 Guest(s)