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RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - Jakeospikez - 06-04-2024

It's not just about when you have a perfect roster. Regular season is a grind you gotta get through healthy. Players are going to get rest days. There will be some injuries. It's probably better to have young guys that aren't ready for big minutes yet but can fill in if necessary due to injuries or b2bs or whatever rather than a guy trying to play as much as possible and will get pissed if not getting minutes. Can the Mavs survive if Kyrie/Luka is out a month or 2. Green/Hardy/Exum minutes probably go way up. OMax probably plays a lot more, etc.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - omahen - 06-05-2024

(06-04-2024, 06:26 PM)Jakeospikez Wrote: It's not just about when you have a perfect roster. Regular season is a grind you gotta get through healthy. Players are going to get rest days. There will be some injuries. It's probably better to have young guys that aren't ready for big minutes yet but can fill in if necessary due to injuries or b2bs or whatever rather than a guy trying to play as much as possible and will get pissed if not getting minutes. Can the Mavs survive if Kyrie/Luka is out a month or 2. Green/Hardy/Exum minutes probably go way up. OMax probably plays a lot more, etc.

One of Mavs problems in the regular season was that they had to rely on Luka and Kyrie probably too much. When Kyrie was out, Luka was playing several consecutive 40+ minutes games. Mavs also don't have personel to cruise against weaker opponents. Games Luka tends to take easy on occasion and they lack a reliable guy who would pick up in those games. I am not sure Exum, Hardy or Green are capable of filling that role. Would prefer a more reliable option and there would still be plenty of minutes left.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - omahen - 06-05-2024

(06-04-2024, 04:51 PM)F Gump Wrote: Of course there would be more minutes available if you trade away half the backups. 

If you don't have minutes for Green, just trade him. His salary is too big for him to sit. That means he's also an avenue to payroll reduction, perhaps. But not sure the Mavs would really want to move him.

We were speaking about trading THJ only and I outlined where the minutes would be coming from. Luka and Kai play less minutes in regular season. There are injuries and so on. THJ was also playing significant minutes in the regular season and Mavs still had regular minutes for Green, Exum and regular development minutes for Hardy. The time where minutes could be scarce and roles reduced is playoffs only. But all guys will get their fair chance of opportunities to fight for their roles.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - mvossman - 06-05-2024

(06-04-2024, 03:13 PM)omahen Wrote: If 1+1 is not on the table, I would really like to target Utah capspace and #29 pick in this draft, if there is someone Mavs like. Two ways to get there - trade THJ into capspace for pick in 2025. Utah gets a pick next draft and gamble that it will be better than whatever is available at #29 this season. The alternative could be to trade Green to Utah for #29. They get a better player they might be able to snatch at #29 and Mavs get the space to resign DJJ. Than use THJ and 2025 for a bench upgrade to replace Green and THJ. 

The third option is to use THJ and 2025 and get a serviceable player on a cheap deal back. Not many options though, as we already discussed several times.

The Green for #29 is interesting.  That gets us room for DJJ and an asset.  I am a little skeptical we can get that done, but if so then we are looking to replace Green with Timmy salary and potentially two (crappy) firsts.  Lot of options in that case.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - F Gump - 06-05-2024

(06-05-2024, 02:09 AM)omahen Wrote: We were speaking about trading THJ only and I outlined where the minutes would be coming from. Luka and Kai play less minutes in regular season. There are injuries and so on. THJ was also playing significant minutes in the regular season and Mavs still had regular minutes for Green, Exum and regular development minutes for Hardy. The time where minutes could be scarce and roles reduced is playoffs only. But all guys will get their fair chance of opportunities to fight for their roles.

Yeah, I get it, but I just didn't buy all that.

The fact is that THJ has been eased out of minutes, and it's really not just a playoff equation anymore. The addition of PJW and Gafford sopped up minutes and there was a ripple effect. Then DJJ got elevated with more minutes, as they went to a defensive approach. Green got healthy. And whatever minutes remained for a shooter with crappy D, Hardy got those minutes.

They aren't going back to THJ. He has 0 minutes on this roster. In the present paradigm, if the Mavs played a regular season game, with a regular lineup, THJ is probably the 11th-15th man, and sitting next to Morris. They have PLENTY of better players to more than fill all the minutes, and more (if needed). The reality is, THJ's a 0 minutes guy now, and if you trade him for a player who you plan to play for 30 mpg more or less, you don't have those minutes to offer

So if your answer is to give 0 minutes to others who would otherwise play, the answer is not "well, THJ got minutes in 2023-24" because that ship has sailed. You gotta deal with the here and now, and plan accordingly.

In particular, that's about Green. If you add a 6th man who will gets significant regular minutes, there's no point in keeping him, because Green's getting 0 minutes (and they really can't afford to spend 12.6M on a lightly used 3rd-stringer, either. THAT MEANS if you trade THJ for a guy getting Green's minutes, then you might as well do another trade and move Green as well. I like his good shooting (if he shoots) and his defensive disruption and his speed, but his continued lack of productiveness makes him a real luxury that may just be too expensive to be practical, in a cap world with real limits on payroll.

TAKING THAT TO ITS PRACTICAL CONCLUSION, HERE'S HOW IT PLAYS OUT

1 The Mavs trade away BOTH Green and THJ. They get back 1 player from some part of that, who will be in your plans to be 6th man/JET-type player off the bench.
2 You leave enough room to sign DJJ to whatever amount it takes within MLE limits.
3 Your 15-man roster looks something like this

C - Gafford, Lively, DP
PF - PJW, Maxi, Omax, Morris (DC)  
SF - DJJ, 6th Man
SG - Kyrie, Hardy, Lawson
PG - Luka, Exum
 .... You have one more roster slot to fill. It might be a ring-chasing vet. It might be a development guy. But it's a player getting minimum salary, one year contract.

4 Your payroll limits - hard cap at Apron 1 (about 179M).
5 Your roster-building limits:
For paying DJJ and 6th Man (combined), you have around 27M to work with in total.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - Chicagojk - 06-05-2024

back durning the draft Jabari was a favorite of mine. I had a few times I was interesting in signing him in Dallas as well. Nico Dante Exum part 2? No Mavs mention, but throwing it out there.


https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nba/bucks/2024/06/03/jabari-parkers-emotional-interview-caps-first-season-overseas/73964008007/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lb5qk_TBY7w


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - Scott41theMavs - 06-05-2024

(06-05-2024, 10:44 AM)F Gump Wrote: C - Gafford, Lively, DP
PF - PJW, Maxi, Omax, Morris (DC)  
SF - DJJ, 6th Man
SG - Kyrie, Hardy, Lawson
PG - Luka, Exum

What does DC stand for? Designated criminal?


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - rocky164 - 06-05-2024

(06-05-2024, 11:38 AM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: What does DC stand for? Designated criminal?
Designated cheerleader


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - SleepingHero - 06-05-2024

@TheDunkCentral
The Brooklyn Nets aren’t interested in trading Mikal Bridges for the No. 3 pick. Instead, they prefer to build around him and attract another star to Brooklyn, per
@basketballtalk


“The Nets have been consistent in saying they are hoping to use Bridges as a lure to bring another star to Brooklyn and build from there. They are not trading him for the No. 3 pick in this draft. Nice try, though, Houston.”

(Via http://bit.ly/3yKQmLD)


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - omahen - 06-06-2024

(06-05-2024, 10:44 AM)F Gump Wrote: Yeah, I get it, but I just didn't buy all that.

The fact is that THJ has been eased out of minutes, and it's really not just a playoff equation anymore. The addition of PJW and Gafford sopped up minutes and there was a ripple effect. Then DJJ got elevated with more minutes, as they went to a defensive approach. Green got healthy. And whatever minutes remained for a shooter with crappy D, Hardy got those minutes.

They aren't going back to THJ. He has 0 minutes on this roster. In the present paradigm, if the Mavs played a regular season game, with a regular lineup, THJ is probably the 11th-15th man, and sitting next to Morris. They have PLENTY of better players to more than fill all the minutes, and more (if needed). The reality is, THJ's a 0 minutes guy now, and if you trade him for a player who you plan to play for 30 mpg more or less, you don't have those minutes to offer

So if your answer is to give 0 minutes to others who would otherwise play, the answer is not "well, THJ got minutes in 2023-24" because that ship has sailed. You gotta deal with the here and now, and plan accordingly.

In particular, that's about Green. If you add a 6th man who will gets significant regular minutes, there's no point in keeping him, because Green's getting 0 minutes (and they really can't afford to spend 12.6M on a lightly used 3rd-stringer, either. THAT MEANS if you trade THJ for a guy getting Green's minutes, then you might as well do another trade and move Green as well. I like his good shooting (if he shoots) and his defensive disruption and his speed, but his continued lack of productiveness makes him a real luxury that may just be too expensive to be practical, in a cap world with real limits on payroll.

TAKING THAT TO ITS PRACTICAL CONCLUSION, HERE'S HOW IT PLAYS OUT

1 The Mavs trade away BOTH Green and THJ. They get back 1 player from some part of that, who will be in your plans to be 6th man/JET-type player off the bench.
2 You leave enough room to sign DJJ to whatever amount it takes within MLE limits.
3 Your 15-man roster looks something like this

C - Gafford, Lively, DP
PF - PJW, Maxi, Omax, Morris (DC)  
SF - DJJ, 6th Man
SG - Kyrie, Hardy, Lawson
PG - Luka, Exum
 .... You have one more roster slot to fill. It might be a ring-chasing vet. It might be a development guy. But it's a player getting minimum salary, one year contract.

4 Your payroll limits - hard cap at Apron 1 (about 179M).
5 Your roster-building limits:
For paying DJJ and 6th Man (combined), you have around 27M to work with in total.

I am totally fine with this idea. Bringing in a good 6th man would basically always require more than just THJ salary to go out, unless DJJ signs a 1+1 deal. But if he does, I still see plenty of minutes for Green. I think there will always be minutes for defenders that can do something on offense. 

If Mavs get a good 6th man, than the guy that will be very unlikely to find minutes will be Hardy. Exum would likely also be relegated to "break in case of emergency" role in times of injuries. Without taking injuries into account, Mavs have roughly:
- 13 minutes behind Luka, 
- 15 minutes behind Kyrie and 
- 23 minutes behind DJJ. 

That is 51 minutes, plenty of minutes for two guys, while rest mostly look for their opportunities in time of injuries.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - RGP1981 - 06-06-2024

(06-05-2024, 10:44 AM)F Gump Wrote: C - Gafford, Lively, DP
PF - PJW, Maxi, Omax, Morris (DC)  
SF - DJJ, 6th Man
SG - Kyrie, Hardy, Lawson
PG - Luka, Exum

For a 6th man, I think I would lean more towards getting a scorer with some play-making ability (like Coby White) rather than a defender (such as Caruso). Why? Because this is how I see the team as constructed with Luka and Kyrie.

G (Scoring): Kyrie, Coby??, Hardy
G (Defensive): DJJ, Green, Exum
F (Scoring): Luka, ??, ??
F (Defensive): PJW, Kleber, O-Max, Morris
C: Lively, Gafford, ??

There's enough defensive Guards on the team with DJJ, Green, Exum. The Mavericks need someone who can properly spell Luke or Kyrie.

Then there are 2 other positions that need to be filled... indicated by the ??.

1) Dwight Powell has to go. The tandem of Lively and Gafford may not always be available due to injuries, suspensions, foul trouble. I don't want to go back to using Powell. My pick to replace him is Jericho Sims... and I'd like to replace Morris with another Kleber-type through the draft.

2) At least one other Forward with a good offensive game. The Mavs FO could even take a flyer in the draft on Nikola Djurisic or Harrison Ingram to fill this spot. This assumes that O-Max is ready to contribute at least as a reliable defender next season. It's also why I think Morris may not be needed, although I'm fine with keeping him on a 1-year deal.

Then the team would look like this.

G (Scoring): Kyrie, Coby??, Hardy
G (Defensive): DJJ, Green, Exum
F (Scoring): Luka, Djurisic??, O-Max (listing him here for convenience, even though he's not a scoring type)
F (Defensive): PJW, Kleber, Morris (replaced by new Kleber-type through this draft or 2025 draft)
C: Lively, Gafford, Sims??

Anyway, through the roster I have listed, I'm not saying that players should be replaced like-for-like when they go to the bench or are not playing. Simply that more balance between options is needed to give Kidd a full deck of cards to play with... and in preparation for the future.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - omahen - 06-06-2024

(06-06-2024, 04:47 AM)RGP1981 Wrote: For a 6th man, I think I would lean more towards getting a scorer with some play-making ability 

You will have same problem with this kind of guy as you have with THJ. You can't really play him next to Luka and Kyrie, therefore his minutes will be very limited in the playoffs. You can't have a good defense with three guys that are limited on that end (despite Luka and Kai playing great defense in this playoff run). This guy doesn't have to be an elite defender, but he has to be a positive one. White imho doesn't fit the profile.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| NOP Want Trae or Murray - RGP1981 - 06-06-2024

(06-06-2024, 06:37 AM)omahen Wrote: You will have same problem with this kind of guy as you have with THJ. You can't really play him next to Luka and Kyrie, therefore his minutes will be very limited in the playoffs. You can't have a good defense with three guys that are limited on that end (despite Luka and Kai playing great defense in this playoff run). This guy doesn't have to be an elite defender, but he has to be a positive one. White imho doesn't fit the profile.

Well, I don't want to play Coby White next to Luke and Kyrie together. I think he'll be very useful playing next to either of them.

- Luka, Coby, DJJ/Green, PJW, Lively/Gaff
- Kyrie, Coby, DJJ/Green, PJW, Lively/Gaff

... and with PJW taking a slightly bigger role on offense in these two lineups too. This way the team won't skip much of a beat when one of Luke/Kyrie goes to the bench or is unavailable to start. They can go at teams for 48 minutes straight.

Anyway, I think someone like Coby is missing on the squad now... THJ is a chucker, Exum doesn't score consistently enough, Hardy is too raw. At $12M and $12.8M for the next 2 seasons, his price is right for that role too.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: Lavine Market Barely There| Nets Will Keep Bridges - Jason Terry - 06-06-2024

None of the alternative scenarios make sense. Green is a good player to have. He brings elite athleticism that’s needed when we want to implement our high paced offense. His speed is top end. That speed is also useful against some of the quicker elite guards defensively. He’s a young player stunted developmentally because of covid, so there’s real potential for improvement. Therefore he fits our timeline. All reports have been he’s an above average worker. He fits well with team chemistry. He’s home grown. He’s not a guy who will complain about coming off the bench. He’s been an excellent 3pt shooter. His energy is needed and can change whole games. He’s in a perfect position

Green’s lack of length and ability to be a real dog on defense. The general inconsistency. His sometimes timid shooting. His lack of dribbling ability…….all of these things would be exposed in a high minutes starter role.

Adding a two way 6th man(and keeping DJJ) would make his contract a problem.

We already have the best of both worlds. We have an elite team in the finals, yet we also have a youth movement going on that we’ve dreamed of for years. We have Green, Hardy, Omax and Lively. I include Lawson in that group and Nico has deemed him deserving. Oh yeah we have the best player in the world too who is only 25 and all of our young guys fit his timeline. We are unlikely to have any decent picks for the foreseeable future. If anything it would be great to find a project that won’t demand real minutes for awhile

There’s also the financial component of keeping a steady supply of young cheap talent under the new CBA.

Adding a score first creator creates problems with Hardy who would and should ask out as he only has next year to prove his worth.

Jones Jr being replaced by using 2025 FRP is not good asset management. Why would Nico do that when we’ve seen him try to make our limited assets stretch further at each transaction cycle? It’s the opposite of the types of decisions we’ve seen him make

It would suck to trade Green, but that’s where this is going if we try to get too cute with our moves


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - SleepingHero - 06-06-2024

https://twitter.com/Mavs_FFL/status/1798722370435494237


DJJ was asked by a reporter about his upcoming free agency:

"Im planning on being here. I don't want to go nowhere. I told Nico, I told Fin, I told Jason, I tell everybody, I love it here. As long as we can get everything situated, I'm staying. I love it in Dallas"


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - Jason Terry - 06-06-2024

Jones Jr says he’s staying as long as “we get everything situated”.

It sounds like full MLE and not tax with a promise.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - Tyler - 06-06-2024

(06-06-2024, 11:54 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: Jones Jr says he’s staying as long as “we get everything situated”.

It sounds like full MLE and not tax with a promise.

Nah. The terms are just an assumption on your part. A reasonable one, but just an assumption. I do think that Nico would be happy to make that happen, though.

The important fact he shared is that he absolutely wants to stay. And he gives me the vibe that he's confident something will be worked out.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - F Gump - 06-06-2024

DJJ said what I have been explaining. He plans to be here. That's an important part of the equation -- he will work with Mavs to see what makes sense. That opens the door wide.


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - DanSchwartzgan - 06-06-2024

(06-06-2024, 11:31 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: https://twitter.com/Mavs_FFL/status/1798722370435494237


DJJ was asked by a reporter about his upcoming free agency:

"Im planning on being here. I don't want to go nowhere. I told Nico, I told Fin, I told Jason, I tell everybody, I love it here. As long as we can get everything situated, I'm staying. I love it in Dallas"

He's said this a dozen times now in different settings.  Even though it is exactly what I'd tell him to say if I were his agent, I believe he is sincere.  Of course, everything depends on the definition of getting "everything situated".  That qualifier is just as important (maybe more so) than the part about loving Dallas.

People tend to forget that he's had an MLE level deal in the past.  I suspect he isn't gunning for 40% of an MLE deal.  We don't have to get anything 'situated' to offer that.  It is going to take us opening up space.  We already pay several guys who are 5th-8th in the rotation in this range including Green, Gafford and Maxi.  No way DJJ takes $5mm or even $7mm.  I don't see it being less than $9mm and very likely it s the full $12.9mm


RE: Trade & FA 2023-24: DJJ: I Plan On Coming Back This Summer - SleepingHero - 06-06-2024

(06-06-2024, 01:42 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: He's said this a dozen times now in different settings.  Even though it is exactly what I'd tell him to say if I were his agent, I believe he is sincere.  Of course, everything depends on the definition of getting "everything situated".  That qualifier is just as important (maybe more so) than the part about loving Dallas.

People tend to forget that he's had an MLE level deal in the past.  I suspect he isn't gunning for 40% of an MLE deal.  We don't have to get anything 'situated' to offer that.  It is going to take us opening up space.  We already pay several guys who are 5th-8th in the rotation in this range including Green, Gafford and Maxi.  No way DJJ takes $5mm or even $7mm.  I don't see it being less than $9mm and very likely it s the full $12.9mm

Which means Green, THJ, and the 2025 pick are all available to be moved to make space for him.